Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
I find it interesting how at one time, people were complaining about how weak they thought the Best Actress race was and now it has become highly contested. It started as a two-person battle between Jessica Chastain and Jennifer Lawrence, and now Emmanuelle Riva has emerged as a potential spoiler. In the end, however, I still think it’s going to be Lawrence, who has SAG on her side as well as Harvey in her corner. She charms the circuit wherever she goes and as a previous nominee, she knows how to work it. I think in a close race, she’ll get it.
Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
How great it would be if Riva managed to actually pull off the upset. For me, there is absolutely no contest between her and Lawrence. What Riva does in Amour is incredibly heartbreaking and profound. It is a performance that touches you so deeply that even thinking about the challenges faced and how successful she is able to pull it off can move you to tears. Even as someone who didn’t fall in love with the film as much as others did, I cannot fault the brilliant job Riva does. In a just world, it would not even be a discussion.
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
This is probably one of the few categories where you can be confident in predicting the winner. The idea of Day-Lewis playing Lincoln sounded like perfect Oscar bait right there, and after seeing the performance, it is easy to reward him. He does a magnificent job at creating a character that feels so familiar even though no one knows how Lincoln spoke or acted. That is a commendable achievement that is going to be rewarded as Day-Lewis makes history by becoming the first to win three Best Actor trophies.
Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix - The Master
It’s almost criminal to choose between Daniel Day-Lewis and Joaquin Phoenix. Both men deliver incredible performances through very different styles of acting. However, if I’m forced to choose one, I give the ever-so-slight advantage to Phoenix if only because he had the added challenge of creating an entirely original character without the benefit of research. Not to downplay Day-Lewis’s accomplishments, but Phoenix’s animalistic transformation is something to behold. It’s the best performance of his career, and I would say he deserves it. But Day-Lewis winning is a nice thought as well.
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