Best Supporting Actress (Predicted 5) Amy Adams - The Fighter
The film itself is gaining a lot of momentum lately, and she's right there with it. The right precursors and a lovely personality has helped her before, and I expect it to pay off once again.
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
She's the weakest link in the ensemble, but she's competing in an incredibly weak category this year. She's riding on the coattailes of the film, and she'll likely earn her second nomination.
Mila Kunis - Black Swan
She was a bit of a longshot at first, but nominations at the Critic's Choice, Golden Globe and especially the SAG Awards speaks volumes to support she has. It's a safe bet she'll make the cut.
Melissa Leo - The Fighter
The arguable frontrunner in this race, taking most of the major critics honors, as well as the recent Golden Globe. It'd be a big shocker if she's snubbed, and given this Oscar race, that's very unlikely.
Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit
This one's stricky because Steinfeld is in a heated category placement debate. While she's getting a lot of support in the Best Actress race, she's more likely to make a stand here, and if so, she may be a possible upset.
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Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom
There's a battle for the last spot in this category, all based on which category Steinfled gets nominated in. If she gets in the other one, then it's up to Weaver or Manville. Both have a strong, passionate support base, but Weaver's got the memorable villain role going for her. There's not a whole lot of wiggle room in this category, but if Steinfeld gets an upgrade, then she's might have a well-deserved nomination.
Best Supporting Actor (Predicted 5)Christian Bale - The Fighter
An incredible performance that has no question of getting nominated. Bale has that step in the bag. Now it's just a matter if he can win the award.
Andrew Garfield - The Social Network
The SAG snub really stunted his buzz, but I still think he's going to make the cut. His film is still riding high, and if all else fails, the coattailes will rally him to the frontlines. He's definitely one of the weaker nominees, but I still have faith.
Jeremy Renner - The Town
This category has had a habit of rewarding memorable screen villains, and he certainly fits the profile. Plus, the film was a significant industry hit and he's got alot of goodwill left over from his nomination from The Hurt Locker.
Mark Ruffalo - The Kids Are All Right
He's got a lot of respect in the industry, and he's in a well-respected film. Add to it that he's always been mentioned as someone who has deserved to be here many times before.
Geoffrey Rush - The King's Speech
A charming actor in a charming role. The film is far too beloved to have him be left off, and he remains a (distant) upset for Bale to win the Oscar.
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John Hawkes - Winter's Bone
He's been popping up in a lot of precursers lately, and having been working as a reliable character actor in the business for a while gives him an edge over some of his competition. The film had a surge of buzz, but lately it's been faltering a bit. Still, he's a credible contender, and could very well take Garfield's place. I'm thinking he might just miss the cut, but he's a name to keep in mind.
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