Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Final Oscar Nominations Predictions: Best Actress & Best Actor

Best Actress (Predicted 5)

Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
She's a veteran who is working that angle very much to position a possible upset. She's beloved, the film's beloved, and a nomination is almost assured.

Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole
She's been holding on well throughout all the major precursers, and it's likely that she'll make the cut. It's a performance from her than many are willing to reward this time around.

Jennifer Lawrence - Winter's Bone
She's no longer in the strong position she once was when the film debuted this past summer, but she's still got a lot of passionate support. Even if the film doesn't make the cut, she's in.

Natalie Portman - Black Swan
The nomination is no problem right now. She's the frontrunner to win this award, and her name is going to be called; no question.

Michelle Williams - Blue Valentine
Very much a longshot at this point, but her performance and the film has got a lot of support, and much of it is from a passionate place. I can see her being the representative for her tiny film.


Alt.
Hailee Steinfeld - True Grit
The support for this girl is off the charts, and a lot of people want to nominate her. However, some people would prefer to see her in this category rather than Supporting Actress where the campaign has placed her. That dissent has reached a lot of people's ears, and it might be enough to bump Williams from that fifth slot. It's likely Steinfeld will get a nomination, but it's unclear exactly where she'll show up.


Best Actor (Predicted 5)

Jeff Bridges - True Grit
He's the man about town right now, and people are really liking his performance in a very good movie. Even with the Oscar from last year, he's in the position to be invited back once again.

Robert Duvall - Get Low
Not a sure bet at this point, but he's an industry favorite who finally has a performance that is worth nominating. People like him and will probably reward him for it.

Jesse Eisenberg - The Social Network
The film shows up everywhere, and Eisenberg is right along with it. Earning the SAG nomination shows how much support he has and will lead to his first nomination.

Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Another veteran from last year's ceremony, except this time he's the frontrunner. A nomination is assured; all that is left is to see if he'll win it in next month.

James Franco - 127 Hours
Yet another person whose nomination is locked in the bag. In fact, had he not taken the consolation prize of hosting the event, he might have been in a better position to upset. Anyway, expect his name to be called.


Alt.
Ryan Gosling - Blue Valentine
The "little movie that could" of the year is catching on with many people. Gosling's name hasn't shown up on every ballot, but he and Williams are constantly being mentioned in the wind. It's a deserving performance, as many agree, but the problem is that there are many worthy performances in this category. If he gets snubbed, it isn't a matter of unworthiness, it'll be not enough spaces. I think he missed one two many honors to make the cut, but he could very well replace some like Duvall, or even Bridges and Eisenberg.

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