Will Win: Octavia Spencer - The Help
It’s very interesting how this category has formed in the past couple of weeks. Before the major precursors, there wasn’t a real frontrunner, and when people were trying to pick a winner, most were going with Jessica Chastain for one of the many roles she had in 2011. However, once Spencer started to win pretty much every major award under the sun, it became quite clear that she was the one to beat. I have little reason to doubt that, as a recent BAFTA win all but secures that outcome. Perhaps Bernice Bejo can ride The Artist’s coattails, but I still see this as Spencer’s win.
Should Win: Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
I want to clear something up first: do I really think McCarthy gave an Oscar worthy performance in Bridesmaids? Honestly, not really. However, she is the only nominee in this category that left a significant impression on her film, so much so that it’s impossible to think about the movie and not come back to her ballsy comedic turn. It is a slight performance, I will grant you, but it’s one that elevates the character very much by her own powers as a performer, and makes the movie she’s in light up every time. It’s hardly a vote I’d cast with strong conviction, but it is a case of me simply enjoying this performance more than most of the others.
It’s very interesting how this category has formed in the past couple of weeks. Before the major precursors, there wasn’t a real frontrunner, and when people were trying to pick a winner, most were going with Jessica Chastain for one of the many roles she had in 2011. However, once Spencer started to win pretty much every major award under the sun, it became quite clear that she was the one to beat. I have little reason to doubt that, as a recent BAFTA win all but secures that outcome. Perhaps Bernice Bejo can ride The Artist’s coattails, but I still see this as Spencer’s win.
Should Win: Melissa McCarthy - Bridesmaids
I want to clear something up first: do I really think McCarthy gave an Oscar worthy performance in Bridesmaids? Honestly, not really. However, she is the only nominee in this category that left a significant impression on her film, so much so that it’s impossible to think about the movie and not come back to her ballsy comedic turn. It is a slight performance, I will grant you, but it’s one that elevates the character very much by her own powers as a performer, and makes the movie she’s in light up every time. It’s hardly a vote I’d cast with strong conviction, but it is a case of me simply enjoying this performance more than most of the others.
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